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Modrono Notations
Qualité quand ça marche: 2.0
Consistance des Vagues: 4.0
Niveau de Difficulté: 1.0
Foule a l'Eau: 4.0

Général: 2.8

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Surf Report Feed

Statistiques de Houle pour Modrono, Printemps: Vagues avec Vents Légers ou Favorables.

This image shows only the swells directed at Modrono that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere spring. It is based on 6580 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the N. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 57% of the time, equivalent to 52 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal northern hemisphere spring but 3% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Modrono is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Modrono about 57% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 41% of the time. This is means that we expect 89 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere spring, of which 52 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.