Statistiques de Houle pour Ann Street Peaks, Novembre: Vagues avec Vents Légers ou Favorables.
This image shows only the swells directed at Ann Street Peaks that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical November. It is based on 2387 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.
The diagram implies that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was E, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 7% of the time, equivalent to 2 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal November. Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Ann Street Peaks is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Ann Street Peaks about 7% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 71% of the time. This is means that we expect 23 days with waves in a typical November, of which 2 days should be surfable.
IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.