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Aln Estuary Notations
Qualité quand ça marche: 2.0
Consistance des Vagues: 3.0
Niveau de Difficulté: 1.0

Général: 2.6

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Surf Report Feed

Statistiques de Houle pour Aln Estuary, Hiver: Vagues avec Vents Légers ou Favorables.

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Aln Estuary that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter. It is based on 6928 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red illustrates biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell was forecast.

The diagram implies that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was NE, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 12% of the time, equivalent to 11 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal northern hemisphere winter but 4% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 4%, equivalent to (4 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Aln Estuary is slightly protected from open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Aln Estuary about 12% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 15% of the time. This is means that we expect 25 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 11 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.